Burnley v Derby County: Predictions, Lineups & Odds (26/08)

Derby County head to Turf Moor to face Premier League side Burnley looking to cause a Carabao Cup upset and reach the third round for the first time since 2022.

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Our Predictions
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Tue, Aug 2614:45 
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Our 3 Predictions For Burnley v Derby County:

  • 1st Prediction For Burnley v Derby County: Match Result Burnley – 1/2
  • 2nd Prediction For Burnley v Derby County: Over 2.5 Goals – 4/6
  • 3rd Prediction For Burnley v Derby County: Both Teams To Score Yes – 4/5

1st Prediction For Burnley v Derby County: Match Result Burnley 1/2

Burnley are unbeaten in the last 12 meetings between these sides, winning eight of those with an aggregate score of 21-6. The Clarets picked up an excellent victory over Sunderland last time out while the Rams have yet to register anything more than the solitary point they gained at home to Bristol City. Burnley did not lose a league game at Turf Moor last season.

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2nd Prediction For Burnley v Derby County: Over 2.5 Goals – 4/6

Derby County have shown frailties in defence so far this season, allowing ten goals against them in their four competitive outings. Burnley are likely to make changes to the side that beat Sunderland, adding attacking players looking to impress and a defence of players who are yet to be up to speed of competitive action this season.

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3rd Prediction For Burnley v Derby County: Both Teams To Score Yes – 4/5

Both of these sides have shown they know where the net is, with Burnley scoring twice last time out against Sunderland and Derby have the in form Carlton Morris leading their line looking for his fourth of the season. Games involving Burnley this season have averaged 2.5 goals and Derby’s three games have produced 14 strikes.

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Best Odds For Burnley v Derby County:

Bookmaker Burnley Draw Derby County
MyriadPlay 12/25 3/1 19/4
Gentleman Jim 1/2 31/10 9/2
Betarno 1/2 16/5 5/1

Full Preview Of The Game: Last Results And Head-To-Head:

On their return to the Premier League, Burnley were well beaten by Tottenham Hotspur in London, with Richarlison netting a brace and Brennan Johnson completing the scoring in a comfortable 3-0 win.

Just three days ago, Scott Parker’s side were more successful as they welcomed Sunderland to Turf Moor for a clash of two promoted teams. Josh Cullen opened the scoring for the hosts just after half time before the game was settled by Jaidon Anthony with just two minutes to go.

The Clarets reached the fourth round of this tournament last season and were beaten 3-0 at Goodison Park by Everton.

Derby County are yet to win a game in normal time this season, with their only success coming in the last round of the Carabao Cup thanks to a penalty shootout win over West Bromwich Albion. The Rams looked to be exiting the competition until Joe Ward equalised in the sixth minute of added time to send the contest to spot kicks.

John Eustace’s men succumbed to a late double salvo in their opening Championship fixture of the new season, as they entered added time with the scores level at 1-1 at Stoke City but lost the game 3-1 having conceded goals in the 95th and 99th minutes. New signing Carlton Morris had given County the lead before they were pegged back by Lewis Baker and defeated by Divin Mubama and Sorba Thomas.

A high scoring defeat at Pride Park followed as Frank Lampard’s Coventry City edged an eight goal thriller by five goals to three. The Rams had twice been behind before leading through goals from Callum Elder, Carlton Morris and Ebou Adams before being pegged back and beaten. Carlton Morris notched his third league goal in as many outings on Friday night as Derby registered their first point of the campaign, drawing 1-1 with Bristol City.

The Rams have scored five and conceded nine goals in their opening three league matches, meaning that on average the games have contained over 4.5 goals. Former Luton Town man Carlton Morris has scored three times and Corey Blackett-Taylor has one assist to his name.

Since 2010, these sides have faced off on 12 occasions and the clashes have been dominated by Burnley who have won eight and are unbeaten in those 12 meetings. As Burnley battled it out with Leeds United and Sheffield United for automatic promotion to the Premier League last season, Derby proved to be something of a bogey side for the Clarets as they were twice held to goalless draws. The Rams were battling against relegation and the two points gained from Scott Parker’s men proved pivotal in securing their second tier status.

Before last season, these sides had not met since the 2015-16 season when both of the teams were fighting at the top end of the Championship. The first meeting saw yet another 0-0 draw played out at Derby’s iPro Stadium before the eventual champions Burnley disposed of their visitors by four goals to one at Turf Moor. A Richard Keogh own goal opened the scoring but Jacob Butterfield immediately hit back for the visiting Rams.

Penalties from Andre Gray and Sam Vokes put the game beyond doubt before Scott Arfield rounded off the scoring in the 66th minute.

The four draws in these 12 meetings have all been by the same scoreline, 0-0, and Burnley have scored 21 times and conceded on six occasions.

Confrontation

Where can I watch the game, either on TV or in person?Where To Watch Burnley v Derby County:

  • Location: Turf Moor, Burnley
  • Date: August 26th, 2025
  • TV Channel: Sky Sports+

Probable Lineups For Burnley v Derby County:

What sort of lineups can we expect from both sides for this EFL Cup round two clash?

Burnley Lineup:

  • Lineup: M. Weiss, O. Sonne, J. Worrall, L. Pires, H. Ekdal, J. Laurent, L. Ugochukwu, L. Tchaouna, M. Edwards, J. Larsen, Z. Flemming
  • Suspended/injury: A. Broja, A. Tuanzebe, B. Humphreys, C. Roberts, J. Beyer, Z. Amdouni
  • Coach: Scott Parker

Derby County Lineup:

  • Lineup: J. Vickers, J. Rooney, D. Sanderson, C. Forsyth, C. Elder, D. Ozoh, B. Clark, K. Goudmijn, J. Ward, D. Brown, A. Weimann
  • Suspended/injured: C. Blackett-Taylor, C. Nelson, K. Wilson, L-J. Salvesen, O. Beck, P. Agyemang, S. Langås
  • Coach: John Eustace

Media Centre – News About Burnley v Derby County:

https://x.com/BurnleyOfficial

https://x.com/dcfcofficial

 

Tom Green is a former primary school teacher turned football writer who has been with The Real EFL for two years. Passionate about football since childhood, he has also contributed to Late Tackle and Gamers Decide. His expertise covers predictions, match previews, and data-driven analysis. Tom has explored topics from Irish players in England’s lower leagues to comprehensive team studies. Holding scouting certificates in opposition analysis and talent identification, he brings a keen analytical perspective to his football writing.

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