Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund
| Predicted Score | |
|---|---|
| 2-1 | Man City Win |
| Bookmaker | Odds | Link |
|---|---|---|
Myriadplay
|
1.40 | BET |
Bet442
|
1.40 | BET |
NRGbet
|
1.36 | BET |
Our Prediction for Man City vs Borussia Dortmund (5/11/2025)
Manchester City are strong favourites to claim all three points at the Etihad Stadium on Wednesday evening. The Citizens’ superior squad depth and home advantage make them compelling picks against a Dortmund side struggling for consistency away from home.
The hosts should edge this encounter, but BVB’s attacking prowess evidenced by their 12 Champions League goals this season means they’re unlikely to leave Manchester empty-handed. Erling Haaland’s exceptional form against his former club adds weight to a City win, whilst Serhou Guirassy’s goalscoring record ensures Dortmund will pose a genuine threat.
Recommended betting market: Manchester City to win and both teams to score at 2.50 offers excellent value. The data supports this outcome City have won their last three home matches against German opposition whilst keeping Dortmund goalless at the Etihad has proved difficult historically. With Pep Guardiola’s side hitting form domestically and Niko Kovač’s men on a four-match winning streak, this Man City vs Dortmund match preview points towards an entertaining, goal-filled encounter.
Manchester City Form Analysis
Manchester City’s recent trajectory demonstrates why they’re second in the Premier League table. The Citizens have won four of their last five matches across all competitions, with their only defeat coming at Aston Villa on 26 October. That 1-0 setback appears increasingly like an anomaly given the dominant displays that have followed.
Pep Guardiola’s side dismantled Bournemouth 3-1 on Sunday, with Erling Haaland’s brace taking his Premier League tally to 13 goals in just 10 appearances this season. The Norwegian striker is on course to shatter records, sitting just two goals away from joining the Premier League’s exclusive 100-goal club. His partnership with Rayan Cherki who provided both assists against the Cherries looks increasingly potent.
Defensively, City have been impressive at home, conceding just once in their last two Etihad fixtures. Gianluigi Donnarumma has settled quickly between the sticks following his move from Paris Saint-Germain, whilst Ruben Dias and John Stones provide the experience required at centre-back. The only concern remains Mateo Kovacic’s ankle injury, which Guardiola confirmed will sideline the Croatian midfielder for several months.
Last 5 results:
- 02/11: Man City 3-1 Bournemouth (W)
- 29/10: Swansea 1-3 Man City (W)
- 26/10: Aston Villa 1-0 Man City (L)
- 21/10: Villarreal 0-2 Man City (W)
- 15/10: Monaco 2-2 Man City (D)
In the Champions League, City have collected seven points from three matches, defeating Napoli and Villarreal 2-0 either side of an entertaining 2-2 draw with Monaco. Whilst their six goals scored places them amongst the lower scorers in the top 12, their defensive solidity remains their foundation. Guardiola’s tactical flexibility allows City to control tempo, and Phil Foden’s creativity alongside Haaland’s clinical finishing gives them multiple attacking dimensions.
Borussia Dortmund Form Analysis
Borussia Dortmund arrive at the Etihad Stadium riding a wave of momentum, having won four consecutive matches across all competitions. This impressive run masks underlying concerns about their away form, however. BVB have historically struggled on English soil, particularly at top-six venues.
Niko Kovač has transformed Dortmund since replacing Nuri Şahin in February. The Croatian tactician has instilled discipline and organisation, evident in their recent 1-0 victory over Augsburg on 1 November. Serhou Guirassy continues to lead the line with distinction, having netted 12 goals in all competitions this season. The former Stuttgart striker’s movement and finishing provide Dortmund with a genuine goal threat.
In the Champions League, BVB have been sensational going forward. They’ve scored four goals in each of their three matches a 4-4 draw with Juventus, a 4-1 thrashing of Athletic Bilbao, and a 4-2 victory at Copenhagen. Felix Nmecha and Jobe Bellingham have emerged as creative forces, with the latter providing two assists in Denmark. Their 12 goals joint-second only to Paris Saint-Germain’s tally demonstrates their attacking quality.
Last 5 results:
- 01/11: Augsburg 0-1 Dortmund (W)
- 26/10: Köln 1-1 Dortmund (D)
- 22/10: Copenhagen 2-4 Dortmund (W)
- 19/10: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Dortmund (D – won on penalties)
- 16/10: Leverkusen 2-2 Dortmund (D)
The German side’s away record remains a significant concern. They’ve picked up just five Bundesliga points on the road this season only bottom-placed Kiel and Bochum have worse records. Nico Schlotterbeck and Niklas Süle are both expected to recover from illness and a toe injury respectively, providing defensive reinforcements. However, Julien Duranville remains sidelined with a shoulder problem.
Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Odds
| Market |
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Man City to Win | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.36 |
| Dortmund to Win | 6.50 | 6.50 | 7.00 |
| Draw | 5.25 | 5.25 | 5.25 |
| Both Teams to Score | 1.58 | 1.58 | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.40 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
All three bookmakers provide excellent odds for this fixture, with NRG.bet marginally ahead on the Manchester City win market. The consistency in Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals pricing across platforms suggests strong confidence in an attacking spectacle.
The Man City vs Dortmund betting odds heavily favour the home side, reflecting their superior form and home advantage. City’s 1.36-1.40 odds across bookmakers suggest an implied probability of approximately 71-74% for a home victory.
Dortmund’s 6.50-7.00 odds indicate the bookmakers rate their chances at roughly 14-15%, whilst the draw sits at 5.25. These Man City vs Dortmund odds align with historical data—City have won three of their last four home matches against Dortmund and have never lost to the German side at the Etihad.
The Over 2.5 Goals market at 1.40 appears particularly attractive given both teams’ attacking capabilities. Dortmund have scored in all three Etihad visits, whilst City have netted in 22 consecutive home Champions League matches. Both Teams to Score at 1.58-1.62 offers solid value it’s occurred in six of the last nine meetings between these sides.
Disclaimer: All odds are subject to change. Please check current odds before placing any wagers. Gamble responsibly. 18+.
Where to Watch Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund
Location: Etihad Stadium, Manchester
Date: Wednesday, 5 November 2025
Kick-off: 20:00 GMT
TV Channel: TNT Sports 1, discovery+
Probable Lineups for Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund
Manchester City Lineup
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Donnarumma; Nunes, Stones, Dias, Aït-Nouri; González, Silva; Savinho, Foden, Doku; Haaland
Injured: Mateo Kovacic (ankle)
Suspended: None
Coach: Pep Guardiola
Borussia Dortmund Lineup
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Kobel; Schlotterbeck, Anton, Bensebaini; Couto, Nmecha, Bellingham, Svensson; Beier, Brandt; Guirassy
Injured: Julien Duranville (shoulder)
Suspended: None
Coach: Niko Kovač
The Last Encounters Between Manchester City and Borussia Dortmund (Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund H2H)
The Man City vs Borussia Dortmund H2H record provides fascinating insights. These clubs have exclusively met in the Champions League, with their rivalry intensifying since 2012. Overall, Manchester City hold a slight advantage with three wins compared to Dortmund’s one victory, whilst three matches have ended level.
The most recent encounter at the Etihad saw Erling Haaland score the winning goal against his former club in September 2022 a poignant moment that highlighted his immediate impact in Manchester. That 2-1 victory extended City’s unbeaten home record against German opposition to 11 matches.
Dortmund’s solitary win came in December 2012 courtesy of Julian Schieber’s strike. Since then, City have dominated this fixture, particularly on home soil. The 2021 quarter-final ties demonstrate City’s ability to grind out results winning both legs 2-1 to progress 4-2 on aggregate.
Historically, matches between these sides produce goals. The average of 2.11 goals per game suggests entertainment is guaranteed, whilst Dortmund have scored at the Etihad in all three visits. This statistical trend supports the Both Teams to Score market, making it an attractive proposition for punters seeking value.
