Our Prediction for Brighton vs Newcastle
This Premier League match pits two well‐coached, evenly matched sides against each other at the Amex. Brighton have been strong at home and typically dictate possession, but Newcastle’s structure and threat on the counter mean the Magpies are rarely out of contests. The head‑to‑head history is balanced and recent form suggests both sides will cancel each other out. With chances expected at both ends but neither side likely to dominate, a draw feels the most logical outcome.
Prediction: 1–1 draw
Betting tip: Draw and both teams to score.
Brighton Form Analysis
Brighton sit mid‑table but remain a tough nut to crack at the Amex. They have won half of their last six Premier League matches and continue to play adventurous, possession‑based football. Bart Verbruggen has established himself as the first‑choice goalkeeper, while captain Lewis Dunk and youngster Jan Paul van Hecke form a solid central partnership. In midfield, Pascal Groß and Billy Gilmour dictate tempo, with Carlos Baleba offering energy and ball‑carrying ability.
Out wide, Kaoru Mitoma and Simon Adingra provide incisive dribbling, though Mitoma’s fitness remains a concern. Injuries to Adam Webster and Solomon March have thinned the squad, but Brighton still carry enough attacking threat to trouble most sides.
Newcastle Form Analysis
Newcastle travel south after a steady start to the season. Eddie Howe’s men have recorded three draws in their four away matches, reflecting their discipline and organisation on the road. Nick Pope remains a reliable last line of defence, with Kieran Trippier, Fabian Schär and Dan Burn providing experience at the back. In midfield, the balance of Bruno Guimarães, Sean Longstaff and Joelinton offers industry and creativity. New signing Nick Woltemade leads the line, flanked by the pace of Miguel Almirón and Anthony Gordon.
The Magpies are without Sven Botman following knee surgery, while Yoane Wissa and Valentino Livramento also miss out. If Newcastle maintain their compact shape and strike decisively on the break, they could frustrate Brighton and secure a point.
Best Betting Odds for Brighton vs Newcastle
| Market |
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton to Win | 2.50 | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| Draw | 3.40 | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| Newcastle to Win | 2.60 | 2.60 | 2.63 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| Both Teams to Score | 1.60 | 1.60 | 1.67 |
A 1–1 draw is a popular selection across multiple Premier League predictions, fitting the balanced nature of this fixture.
Last Encounters Between Brighton and Newcastle
Brighton 1–1 Newcastle – 4 May 2025, Premier League
Newcastle 1–2 Brighton – 2 March 2025, FA Cup
Newcastle 0–1 Brighton (19 October 2024, Premier League
Brighton 3–1 Newcastle (2 September 2023, Premier League
Brighton 0–0 Newcastle (13 August 2022, Premier League
The last five meetings highlight how tightly contested this match‑up is: Brighton have three wins, Newcastle one, and there has been one draw. Many of those games were decided by a single goal or ended level.
Brighton vs Newcastle Predicted Lineups
Brighton (4‑3‑3)
GK: Bart Verbruggen
RB: Tariq Lamptey CB: Lewis Dunk CB: Jan Paul van Hecke LB: Pervis Estupiñán
CM: Pascal Groß CM: Billy Gilmour CM: Carlos Baleba
RW: Simon Adingra ST: Evan Ferguson LW: Kaoru Mitoma
Injured/Suspended: Adam Webster (cruciate ligament), Brajan Gruda (knee), Jason Steele (unknown injury).
In doubt: Kaoru Mitoma
Coach: Fabian Hürzeler
Newcastle United (4‑3‑3)
GK: Nick Pope
RB: Kieran Trippier CB: Fabian Schär CB: Dan Burn LB: Tino Livramento
CM: Bruno Guimarães CM: Sean Longstaff CM: Joelinton
RW: Miguel Almirón ST: Nick Woltemade LW: Anthony Gordon
Injured/Suspended: Sven Botman (knee surgery), Yoane Wissa (knee injury), Valentino Livramento (injury)
In doubt: Callum Wilson (minor fitness issue)
Coach: Eddie Howe
Where to Watch Brighton vs Newcastle
Fans in the UK can watch this match live on Sky Sports Premier League, with kick‑off at 16:00 BST on Saturday 18 October.
Players That Used to Play in the EFL
Dan Burn – Formerly Darlington, Fulham, Birmingham City & Wigan Athletic
A towering defender, Dan Burn amassed over 150 appearances in the English Football League across multiple clubs. His experience at Fulham, Birmingham and Wigan honed the aerial dominance and leadership he now brings to Newcastle’s back line.
Callum Wilson – Formerly Coventry City & Bournemouth
Although currently a rotation option, Callum Wilson built his reputation in the EFL. He scored prolifically for Coventry City before spearheading Bournemouth’s promotion campaign, sharpening the movement and finishing that define his Premier League career.
Lewis Dunk – Formerly Brighton (Championship)
Brighton captain Lewis Dunk has spent his entire senior career with the Seagulls, making over 150 Championship appearances before leading them into the Premier League. His consistency and leadership are rooted in those gruelling EFL seasons.
Jan Paul van Hecke – Formerly Blackburn Rovers (loan)
Dutch centre‑back Jan Paul van Hecke enjoyed a successful loan spell with Blackburn Rovers in the Championship, where regular EFL football improved his positioning and resilience. That experience has helped him establish a starting role at Brighton.
