Our Prediction for Italy vs Israel 14/10/2025
Italy return to the Stadio Olimpico on Tuesday night, looking to strengthen their grip on Group I with another crucial win. Luciano Spalletti’s side have combined defensive control with patient attacking play throughout qualifying, and another disciplined performance should see them through against an improving Israel.
Israel have shown flashes of progress in recent matches but remain inconsistent. They’ll approach this contest with energy and compactness, yet Italy’s technical precision and depth make them firm favourites to claim the points in Rome.
Predicted scoreline: Italy 2–1 Israel
Italy Form Analysis
Italy have made a solid start to their qualifying campaign, collecting seven points from their opening three games. Spalletti’s emphasis on structure and possession has restored some of the old composure that defined Italy’s success under Mancini.
Federico Chiesa and Domenico Berardi have added width and directness in attack, while Nicolo Barella continues to anchor midfield with drive and composure. Gianluca Scamacca has offered a focal point up front, linking play effectively with the creative support behind him.
At home, Italy rarely falter. They’ve lost only once in their last 20 qualifiers on Italian soil, and their ability to control rhythm and space makes them a reliable pick for those tracking football odds or World Cup qualifying tips ahead of Tuesday’s fixtures.
Israel Form Analysis
Israel sit mid-table in the group, with one win and two defeats so far. Their campaign has been marked by promise but also by defensive lapses at key moments. Manager Alon Hazan has encouraged his team to play progressive football, yet maintaining discipline against elite opposition has proved difficult.
Manor Solomon remains their main attacking outlet, while Eran Zahavi provides experience and finishing quality. Oscar Gloukh, the 20-year-old midfielder at RB Salzburg, is another bright talent who offers creativity and control in advanced areas.
Israel can be dangerous in transitions, but sustaining that intensity in Rome will be a major challenge. Most betting sites have them priced as clear outsiders given Italy’s quality and home advantage.
Best Betting Odds for Italy vs Israel
| Outcome |
|
|
|
|---|---|---|---|
| Italy to Win | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.20 |
| Israel to Win | 13.00 | 12.00 | 12.00 |
| Draw | 6.50 | 6.50 | 6.50 |
Last Encounters Between Italy and Israel
5 September 2017 (World Cup Qualifier, Reggio Emilia) – Italy 1–0 Israel
5 September 2016 (World Cup Qualifier, Haifa) – Israel 1–3 Italy
2 September 2001 (Friendly, Palermo) – Italy 2–0 Israel
Italy have won each of their last three meetings, controlling possession and limiting Israel’s chances throughout. Their tactical discipline and home advantage have consistently proved too much for Israel to overcome.
Group I Table
| Group I | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NOR
|
6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 18 |
 ITA
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 |
 ISR
|
6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 9 |
 EST
|
6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
 MDA
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -22 | 0 |
Which Teams Will Qualify from Group I
Italy and Switzerland look a class apart in this group, and both are likely to progress without major difficulty. Israel’s youthful energy keeps them competitive, but a top-two finish may be beyond reach unless they find greater consistency away from home.
Players That are Currently Playing in the EFL
Eran Zahavi – Formerly Birmingham City (Championship)
Spent a short stint in England earlier in his career, where he gained valuable experience before establishing himself as one of Israel’s most prolific forwards.
Players That Used to Play in the EFL
Eldar Hadzic – Formerly Reading (Championship)
Came through the youth system and featured in the EFL before moving abroad.
