Plymouth Argyle host Leeds United in the final game of the Championship season on Saturday.
EFL Championship
Our 3 Predictions For Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United
- 1st Prediction: Leeds United to win with a two goal margin 13/5
- 2nd Prediction: Both teams to score: no 18/25
- 3rd Prediction: Wilfried Gnonto to score at any time 9/5
1st Prediction For Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United: Leeds United to win with a two goal margin
Despite Plymouth Argyle’s recent run of good form, Leeds United are considered heavy favourites heading into Saturday’s title-deciding match. Due to this, it would not be fruitful to simply predict Daniel Farke’s side to win, but it is much more fruitful to predict them to win by a two goal margin. The Whites have won each of their last five league games to put them on top of the Championship form table as well as the overall table. During this period, they have scored a staggering 14 goals, three more than the next most prolific side. The Yorkshire giants have been by far the best attacking side in the second tier this season. They have scored 93 goals in their 45 games which is an astonishing 25 goals more than the next highest scoring team. Daniel Farke’s men also have excellent underlying attacking numbers, creating over 20 xG and 30 big chances more than than the next most creative side in the Championship.
2nd Prediction For Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United: Both teams to score: no 18/25
Not only is Leeds’ attack sublime, but their defence is excellent. The once in a lifetime exploits of Burnley FC have detracted from the attention that the Whites’ defence has got. Had it not been for the Clarets, Farke’s men would be on track to be the best Championship defence of all time. The Yorkshiremen have conceded just 29 goals this term, keeping a very impressive 25 clean sheets in the process. What is even more impressive is that the Whites have conceded over six xG less than Burnley, meaning that, statistically, their backline is much tighter than the Clarets’. They also boast the best defence in the second tier over the last five games, where they have conceded just a single goal. In fact, since Karl Darlow assumed his role as Leeds’ first-choice goalkeeper at the start of April, Leeds have conceded just twice.
3rd Prediction For Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United: Wilfried Gnonto to score at any time 9/5
Wilfried Gnonto has struggled to gain a regular position in Leeds’ starting eleven since Daniel Farke arrived at the club, but the Italian international has taken the opportunity which an injury to Daniel James has provided for him with both hands. The diminutive winger has scored twice in his last two games to take his total for the season to eight goals in 42 league appearances, though it should be noted that a number of these came from the bench. The 21-year-old averages more shots on target per 90 than 92.5% of Championship wingers and he has more goals and more non-penalty xG than 91.8% of right-wingers in the second tier. Gnonto is excellent in one-on-one situations due to his pace and trickery which could cause immense problems against a Plymouth defence which is by far the leakiest in the second tier.
Best Odds For Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United
| Bookmaker | Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Leeds United |
| 10Bet | 35/4 | 23/5 | 24/100 |
| Cosmobet | 169/20 | 43/10 | 13/50 |
| Myriadplay | 7/4 | 2/1 | 3/2 |
Full Preview Of The Game: Last Results And Head-To-Head
Plymouth Argyle head into the final day of the season in pretty much the best form they have been in all campaign. The Pilgrims have won three of their last five league games to put them in seventh place in the form table. Unfortunately, it looks like the players’ efforts will be too little and too late to save themselves from relegation. Argyle currently sit in 23rd place in the Championship with 46 points from their 45 league games. Although they are just three points off safety, their goal difference is so poor that they would need at least a 14-goal swing to have any chance at survival. Despite that, Miron Muslic should be proud of the job he has done. Under his guidance, the team have picked up 1.4 points per game, which would have seen them fighting for a playoff spot over the course of a full season.
As for Leeds United, they know that a win on the final day will guarantee them the Championship title and make them just the seventh side to hit the 100-point mark in the second tier. They are currently level on points with Burnley, having accumulated 97 points in their 45 league games, though the Yorkshiremen have a far superior goal difference. Statistically, Daniel Farke’s men have been the best team in the Championship by a country mile and the German deserves immense credit for bouncing back from a crushing playoff final defeat to Southampton and for coping so well with the general pressure and criticism that comes with being in charge at Leeds. The Whites are already guaranteed promotion, regardless of the outcome on Saturday, and one can only hope that Farke has the chance to manage his side in the Premier League.
Confrontation |
Where To Watch Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United
Where can I watch the game, either on TV or in-person?
- Location: Home Park, Plymouth
- Date: May 3rd 2025
- TV Channel: Sky Sports +
Probable Lineups For Plymouth Argyle vs Leeds United
What sort of side will each manager put out ahead of this clash? My football predictions experience envisages the following;
Plymouth Argyle Lineup:
- Lineup: C. Hazard, M. Talovierov, N. Katic, J. Pleguezuelo, K. Szucs, D. Gyabi, A. Randell, B. Mumba, R. Hardie, C. Wright, M. Bundu
- Suspended/injured: B. Galloway, M. Sorinola (both injured)
- Coach: Miron Muslic
Leeds United Lineup:
- Lineup: K. Darlow, J. Bogle, J. Rodon, E. Ampadu, J. Firpo, A. Tanaka, I. Gruev, W. Gnonto, B. Aaronson, M. Solomon, J. Piroe
- Suspended/Injured: P. Struijk, J. Rothwell (both injured)
- Coach: Daniel Farke
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