Millwall vs Derby County: Prediction, Lineups & Odds (19/10)

Millwall face Derby County in a mid-table Championship on Saturday afternoon.

country : BE and geoCountry : BE
Our Prognostics
EFL Championship League icon

EFL Championship

Sat, Oct 1910:00 
Millwall   logo
Millwall
vs
Derby county   logo
Derby county
Our prediction

Millwall to win

Bet now

Our 3 Predictions For Millwall vs Derby County

  • 1st Prediction: Millwall to win 1.99
  • 2nd Prediction: Full time score Millwall 2-0 Derby County 8.05
  • 3rd Prediction: Over 1.5 goals in second half 2.42

1st Prediction For Millwall vs Derby County: Millwall to win 1.99

Millwall manager Neil Harris firmly believes that his teams’ performances do not reflect their position in the table. The Lions currently sit in 18th place in the second tier, six places below their opponents, but they have created the third most big chances in the division and they have one of the lowest expected goals against numbers. In particular, Harris thinks that his side deserved more than six points from their four home games so far. As Millwall are playing four of their next five games at the Den, this encounter against Derby represents a good point for the Lions to starting building momentum and getting the points which the underlying metrics say they deserve.

dcKey 001642f3b226ef0364ef119f56a114f6

2nd Prediction For Millwall vs Derby County : Full time score Millwall 2-0 Derby County 8.05

Although Millwall have not been the most prolific team so far, Paul Warne’s Derby side have looked very uncomfortable on the road this season, which should lead to the lions picking up a relatively comfortable win. The Rams have lost all five of their away fixtures in all competitions this campaign, including a rather embarrassing penalty shootout defeat to League Two side Barrow in the Carabao Cup. Additionally, in these five games, Paul Warne’s men have scored just three goals and conceded nine times. It seems highly unlikely that they will be able to penetrate the Millwall defence, especially when Japhet Tanganga and Jake Cooper have formed such a strong partnership in recent weeks, conceding only four times in their last five games.

dcKey 8812c91f80445f6f0a540d1e0f1e7b1d

3rd Prediction For Millwall vs Derby County: Over 1.5 goals in second half 2.42

A lot of the action in recent Derby games has come in the second half. In fact, eight of the last 11 goals either scored or conceded by Paul Warnes’ side have come in the second 45 minutes. When looking at the Rams’ away record, they have also struggled in the second half of games. Out of the nine league goals they have conceded on the road, six of them have come in the second half as their solid defensive structure becomes more difficult to maintain. Additionally, Millwall’s top scorer, Duncan Watmore, has scored four of his five goals this season in the second half of games; this means that fans at the Den are likely to see an action-packed second period in which the lions score multiple goals.

dcKey 158f686ad50fe1cf155c8150810ccdc1

Best Odds For Millwall vs Derby County

 

Bookmaker Millwall Draw Derby County
10Bet 1.99 3.06 3.97
Cosmobet 1.99 3.06 3.97
Myriadplay 1.99 3.25 3.90

Full Preview Of The Game: Last Results And Head-To-Head

Even though Derby are higher in the table than Millwall, the difference in quality between the two teams will be minimal. The Lions have very good underlying metrics, but have not got the results to back them up so far. The Rams, meanwhile, have very little in their favour when on the road as they are yet to pick up a point on their travels. Millwall manager Neil Harris has complained about a lack of firepower at points, but now that summer signing Macaulay Langstaff is getting an extended run in the team, the turning point could be on the horizon for the London-based side.

Confrontation

Where To Watch Millwall vs Derby County

Where can I watch the game, either on TV or in-person?

  • Location: The Den, London
  • Date: October 19th 2024
  • TV Channel: N/A

Probable Lineups For Millwall vs Derby County

What sort of side will each manager put out ahead of this clash?

Millwall Lineup

  • Lineup: L. B. Jensen, R. Leonard, J. Tanganga, J. Cooper, D. McNamara, C. de Norre, G. Saville, R. Esse, G. Honeyman, F. Azeez, M. Langstaff
  • Suspended/Injured: B. Mitchell, J. Coburn, T. Bradshaw, A. Mayor, S. Hutchinson, A. Emakhu
  • Coach: Neil Harris

Derby County Lineup

  • Lineup: J. W. Zetterstrom, R. Nyambe, C. Nelson, E. Cashin, C. Forsyth, K. Goudmijn, E. Adams, M. Harness, K. Jackson, N. Mendez-Laing, J. Yates
  • Suspended/Injured: C. Elder, D. Ozoh, T. Chirewa
  • Coach: Paul Warne

Media Centre – News About Millwall vs Derby County

Aryan Jolly has been with The Real EFL since 2023, specialising in predictions and National League coverage. With over two years of sports writing experience, he delivers fixture analysis and transfer updates, particularly regarding Barnet FC. In July 2024, he represented The Real EFL as a media correspondent at QPR vs. Tottenham, providing immediate post-match coverage. Passionate about football’s evolving landscape, Aryan offers insightful analysis of league structures and club performances, establishing himself as a trusted voice in football media.

RELATED ARTICLES

BE THE FIRST TO COMMENT

Leave a Reply