Swansea City welcome Derby County to the Swansea.com Stadium on Tuesday night for this crucial Championship clash.
EFL Championship
Our Three Predictions For Swansea City vs Derby County
- First Prediction: Double Chance – Derby County or Draw – 13/20
- Second Prediction: Both Teams To Score – 1/1
- Third Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals – 13/10
First Prediction For Swansea City vs Derby County – Double Chance – Derby County Or Draw – 13/20
Swansea will likely have Alan Sheehan’s successor unveiled for the visit of Derby County on Tuesday night, with Vitor Matos expected to arrive from Portuguese outfit Maritimo. Whether he takes charge of this fixture remains to be seen, but it is unlikely that he will be able to make an instant impact due to the short amount of time he will have with the players.
The Swans head into this on the back of 3 successive defeats, which have seen them concede 9 times. The 4-1 reverse against Ipswich Town spelled the end of Sheehan’s tenure, but interim boss Darren O’Dea oversaw a 3-0 loss at Bristol City at the weekend.
Derby had been flying prior to the international break, winning 5 games on the bounce. This came to an end on Saturday when they surrendered a 2-goal lead to lose 3-2 to Watford at Pride Park when a late double from Edo Kayembe stole a win from the jaws of defeat for the Hornets.
Still, John Eustace will be confident that it was just a blip and his side look good value for at least a point.
Second Prediction For Swansea City vs Derby County – Both Teams To Score – 1/1
Swansea have featured in games where both teams have scored on 9 occasions this season, although this has increased in recent weeks. They have achieved this feat in 4 of their last 5 outings, with the 3-0 defeat against Bristol City at the weekend the only anomaly.
Taking into account just home fixtures, only Blackburn Rovers have been involved in more games that have seen the net ripple at either end. The Swans have scored and conceded in 75% of games played in front of their own supporters.
Derby rank high in this market, with 69% of their fixtures seeing both teams score. Only Southampton and Hull City have been involved in more.
The Rams do see this percentage increase slightly when away from Pride Park to 71%. This includes their last 2 trips, where they beat Sheffield United and Blackburn 3-1 and 2-1 respectively.
Third Prediction For Swansea City vs Derby County – Over 2.5 Goals – 13/10
It’s no surprise to see the odds so high for this prediction, with both teams ranking low in this market. The pair have identical records overall, with 44% of their fixtures producing 3 or more goals.
Taking into account recent fixtures though, the outlook changes somewhat. Swansea have been involved in high scoring affairs in 4 of their last 5, albeit 3 of those have ended in defeat.
Meanwhile, Derby’s 3-2 loss against Watford at the weekend was the fourth successive game in which they have seen over 2.5 goals. The 3 outings prior to that all ended in victories.
Best Odds For Swansea City vs Derby County
| Bookmaker | Swansea City | Draw | Derby County |
| NRGBet Sports | 23/20 | 11/5 | 12/5 |
| Bet442 Sport | 6/5 | 11/5 | 5/2 |
| 7bet Sports | 9/8 | 9/4 | 5/2 |
Full Preview Of The Game: Last Results And Head-To-Head:
Swansea have enjoyed a poor opening third to the season, which culminated in manager Alan Sheehan losing his job prior to the international break. A new era is on the horizon though, with Vitor Matos all-but-confirmed as the 39-year-old’s successor.
The new boss will have a stern test on his hands upon taking over. They currently sit in 20th in the Championship, 4 points ahead of Sheffield United in the final relegation spot.
The Swans have won just once since the end of September, with that solitary victory coming against struggling Norwich City (2-1) in late October. They head into this game on the back of 3 successive defeats, having lost to Preston North End (2-1), Ipswich Town (4-1) and Bristol City (3-0).
Derby have completely revitalised their season in recent weeks. They won just one of their opening 10 games but then embarked on a staggering run of form which saw them win 5 games in succession.
The international break perhaps came at the wrong time for the Rams and may have derailed their momentum slightly. A 2-1 victory over Blackburn Rovers on November 8th saw them rise to 10th, but a return to action last weekend saw John Eustace’s side lose for the first time since mid-October.
It will be a bitter pill to swallow for the East Midlands-based outfit though. They took a 2-goal lead through Dion Sanderson and Sondre Langas against Watford, but the Hornets recovered to win the game 3-2 with 2 late goals.
Swansea have dominated this fixture in recent years and are unbeaten in their last 5 meetings against the Rams. This includes 2 wins last season, the last of which was a narrow 1-0 victory in South Wales.
Derby’s last win in this fixture came in 2020, which did end a run of 7 games without defeat against the Swans. Overall, Swansea edge the head-to-head record, winning 23 of the previous 50 meetings. Derby have 18 victories whilst the pair have played out 9 draws, the last of which came in 2021.
25/11/2025
Championship
Championship
Swansea Derby 1 2 05/04/2025
Championship
Championship
Swansea City Derby County 1 0 27/11/2024
Championship
Championship
Derby County Swansea City 1 2 29/11/2025
Championship
Championship
West Brom Swansea 3 2 L 25/11/2025
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Championship
Swansea Derby 1 2 L 22/11/2025
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Championship
Bristol City Swansea 3 0 L 08/11/2025
Championship
Championship
Swansea Ipswich 1 4 L 05/11/2025
Championship
Championship
Preston Swansea 2 1 L 29/11/2025
Championship
Championship
Middlesbrough Derby 2 1 L 25/11/2025
Championship
Championship
Swansea Derby 1 2 W 22/11/2025
Championship
Championship
Derby Watford 2 3 L 08/11/2025
Championship
Championship
Blackburn Derby 1 2 W 04/11/2025
Championship
Championship
Derby Hull 2 1 WConfrontation
Last Results - Swansea
Last Results - Derby
Where To Watch Swansea City vs Derby County
Where can I watch this game, either in person or on TV?
- Location: Swansea.com Stadium, Plasmarl, Swansea, SA1 2FA
- Date: November 25th, 2025
- TV Channel: Sky Sports +
Probable Lineups For Swansea City vs Derby County
Predicted Swansea City Lineup
- Lineup: Vigouroux; Ronald, Casey, Burgess; Key, Stamenic, Galbraith, Samuels-Smith; Ji-Sung, Inoussa; Vipotnik
- Injured/Suspended: Canbango
- Manager: Darren O’Dea (interim)
Predicted Derby County Lineup
- Lineup: Zetterstrom; Langas, Batth, Clarke; Ward, Adams, Clark, Elder; Brereton-Diaz, Agyemang; Weimann
- Injured/Suspended: Brewster, Ozoh, Johnston, Travis, Beck, Morris (doubtful), Sanderson (suspended)
- Manager: John Eustace
