Manchester City vs Everton Prediction, Odds, Lineups & Betting Tips (18/10/2025) – EPL

Our Prediction for Man City vs Everton (18/10/2025)

Manchester City are overwhelming favourites to claim all three points when Everton visit the Etihad Stadium on Saturday afternoon. The Citizens have regained their rhythm following a stuttering start to the campaign, whilst the Toffees will face this formidable opponent without their most influential attacking player.

Man City vs Everton score prediction: Manchester City 3-0 Everton

The Manchester City vs Everton betting odds heavily favour a home victory, and the data supports this assessment. City rank inside the top three for expected goals (xG) and expected points (xPTS) this season, whilst their defensive organisation has been exceptional, conceding just 0.74 xGA per game across their last seven matches. Everton’s away record offers little encouragement, averaging only 0.9 xG on their travels.

Our recommended Man City vs Everton betting tips focus on City’s ability to control proceedings without descending into chaos. Manchester City to win and under 3.5 goals at 1.65 represents excellent value, as Guardiola’s side rarely produce inflated scorelines when comfortably ahead. Additionally, Erling Haaland anytime scorer at 1.53 remains an outstanding bet given his remarkable run of 19 goals in 12 appearances across all competitions.

The Norwegian striker has been in unstoppable form since late August, and Everton’s defensive vulnerabilities – having conceded in their last five away matches whilst allowing 7.5 shots inside the box per game – make him virtually certain to find the net.

Manchester City Form Analysis

Manchester City enter the October international break in excellent shape, sitting fifth in the Man City vs Everton standings with 13 points from seven matches. Their recent form tells the story of a team hitting top gear after early-season inconsistencies.

Pep Guardiola reached his 250th Premier League victory faster than any manager in competition history during October’s 1-0 triumph at Brentford. Erling Haaland’s eighth-minute strike secured that milestone, with the Norwegian extending his phenomenal goalscoring streak. The striker has now scored in every appearance since late August – a run spanning 10 games and yielding 19 goals for club and country.

City’s underlying metrics demonstrate their dominance. Over the past six weeks, they have averaged 13 shots per match to opponents’ 10, whilst maintaining a superior shot-on-target ratio of 58%. Their non-penalty expected goals against (xGA) sits at 0.94 per game, third-best in the Premier League, and they have conceded only three big chances all season.

The Sky Blues have won five of their last seven matches across all competitions, with their only defeats coming against Brighton and a 2-2 draw at Arsenal. That Arsenal fixture ended Rodri’s remarkable 48-match unbeaten run in the Premier League before his season-ending ACL injury. However, Guardiola has successfully adapted, with Nico González and Tijjani Reijnders forming an effective midfield partnership.

Phil Foden has rediscovered his spark, whilst Jeremy Doku and Savinho provide width and creativity on the flanks. Most importantly, Haaland continues to terrorise defences. His 0.83 xG per 90 minutes and 4.4 shots per match underline his clinical efficiency.

Last 5 Results:

• 05/10/25: Brentford 0-1 Man City (Premier League)
• 01/10/25: Monaco 2-2 Man City (Champions League)
• 27/09/25: Man City 5-1 Burnley (Premier League)
• 24/09/25: Huddersfield 0-2 Man City (EFL Cup)
• 21/09/25: Arsenal 1-1 Man City (Premier League)

Everton Form Analysis

Everton have enjoyed a steady start to life at their new Hill Dickinson Stadium, accumulating 11 points from seven matches to sit eighth in the table. David Moyes has instilled defensive discipline whilst gradually improving their attacking output.

The Toffees’ most impressive result came in their last outing before the international break – a 2-1 victory over Crystal Palace. That triumph extended their unbeaten run to three matches and showcased their growing confidence under Moyes’ pragmatic approach.

However, this Man City vs Everton match preview must acknowledge Everton’s significant handicap. Jack Grealish, on loan from Manchester City, is ineligible to face his parent club. The 30-year-old has been Everton’s standout performer, winning the Premier League Player of the Month award for August after providing four assists in three matches. His creativity and ball-carrying ability have been central to Everton’s best attacking play.

Without Grealish’s spark, Everton will rely heavily on Iliman Ndiaye, who has been in impressive form, alongside Beto’s physical presence up front. Dwight McNeil offers quality from wide positions, but the team’s overall attacking threat diminishes considerably without their talismanic loanee.

Everton’s defensive record shows improvement, though their away form remains concerning. They average just 0.9 xG on their travels whilst conceding 1.3 per match. Their non-penalty xG sits at 1.03 per game – outside the top 10 – and they have managed fewer than seven shots inside the box in five of their last seven fixtures.

Against the Premier League’s elite sides, Everton typically adopt a deep defensive block and look to frustrate opponents. At the Etihad, they will require a perfect defensive performance combined with clinical counter-attacking to secure any points.

Last 5 Results:

• 05/10/25: Everton 2-1 Crystal Palace (Premier League)
• 29/09/25: West Ham 1-1 Everton (Premier League)
• 20/09/25: Liverpool 2-1 Everton (Premier League)
• 14/09/25: Everton 3-0 Wolves (Premier League)
• 31/08/25: Leeds 1-1 Everton (Premier League)

Man City vs Everton Betting Odds

The Man City vs Everton odds reflect the significant gulf in quality and form between these sides. City’s home advantage combined with Everton’s personnel issues have created a lopsided betting market.

Market
Man City to Win	1.85	1.35	1.36
Draw	4.80	4.80	4.75
Everton to Win	7.00	7.00	7.50
Over 2.5 Goals	1.65	1.65	1.73
Both Teams to Score	1.90	1.90	1.95

These odds suggest approximately 70% probability of a Manchester City victory, which aligns with both historical precedent and current form. The goal markets lean towards a relatively controlled affair, with over 2.5 goals priced around evens. The BTTS market at close to 2.0 reflects uncertainty over Everton’s attacking capabilities without Grealish.

For value hunters, Manchester City to win and under 3.5 goals combines two likely outcomes. City’s recent matches have featured controlled performances rather than goal-fests, whilst Everton’s limited attacking threat makes a tight scoreline probable.

Where to Watch Manchester City vs Everton

Catch Saturday’s Premier League clash between two historic English clubs.

Location: Etihad Stadium, Manchester

Date: Saturday, 18 October 2025

Kick-off: 15:00 BST

TV Channel: Available on Sky Sports Premier League and Sky Sports Main Event in the UK. International viewers should check local Premier League broadcast partners.

Probable Lineups for Manchester City vs Everton

Team news and expected formations for Saturday’s encounter.

Manchester City Lineup (4-3-3)

Starting XI: Donnarumma; O’Reilly, Dias, Gvardiol, Nunes; González, Reijnders, Doku; Foden, Haaland, Savinho

Injured/Suspended: Rodri (ACL – out for season), Cherki (thigh – doubtful), Ait-Nouri (ankle – doubtful), Marmoush (knee – doubtful)

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Guardiola will likely field his strongest available XI following the international break. The midfield trio of González, Reijnders and Doku offers energy and creativity to compensate for Rodri’s absence. Foden operates in a free role behind Haaland, with Savinho providing width and direct running down the right flank.

Everton Lineup (4-2-3-1)

Starting XI: Pickford; O’Brien, Tarkowski, Keane, Mykolenko; Gueye, Garner; Dibling, Dewsbury-Hall, McNeil; Ndiaye

Injured/Suspended: Grealish (ineligible vs parent club), Mykolenko (muscle – doubtful), Campbell (knee – out)

Coach: David Moyes

Moyes faces the considerable challenge of replacing Grealish’s creativity. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, impressive since his summer arrival, will likely move into the attacking midfield role. McNeil and Dibling provide width, supporting lone striker Iliman Ndiaye. The midfield pairing of Gueye and Garner offers defensive solidity but limited creativity.

The Last Encounters Between Manchester City and Everton (Man City vs Everton H2H)

Historical meetings heavily favour Manchester City, particularly in recent seasons under Guardiola.

Date	Venue	Competition	Result	Goal Scorers
19/04/2025	Goodison Park (Liverpool)	Premier League	Everton 0–2 Man City	Haaland (2)
26/12/2024	Etihad Stadium (Manchester)	Premier League	Man City 1–1 Everton	Foden (MCI), Keane (EVE)
10/02/2024	Etihad Stadium (Manchester)	Premier League	Man City 2–0 Everton	Haaland, Álvarez
27/12/2023	Goodison Park (Liverpool)	Premier League	Everton 1–3 Man City	Doucouré (EVE), Foden, Álvarez, Bernardo (MCI)
14/05/2023	Goodison Park (Liverpool)	Premier League	Everton 0–3 Man City	Gündoğan (2), Haaland

Manchester City have dominated this fixture in the Premier League era, winning 26 of their 51 meetings with Everton, losing just 15 times. The Citizens remain unbeaten in 18 of their last 19 encounters with the Toffees, with Everton’s solitary victory during that stretch coming back in January 2017.

The aggregate score over their last five meetings stands at 11-4 in City’s favour. More tellingly, City have kept clean sheets in three of those five matches, conceding just once in the last five encounters. At the Etihad specifically, Everton are winless in their last 15 visits down the M62.

City have averaged 2.65 goals per match in direct meetings with Everton, underlining their attacking superiority. However, four of City’s last five league victories over the Toffees have featured under 3.5 goals, suggesting these matches follow a pattern of controlled dominance rather than free-scoring affairs.

Man City and Everton Players That Used to Play in the EFL

Several current squad members have Championship or lower league experience that shaped their development.

Manchester City: Rico Lewis began his professional journey in City’s academy before progressing through the EFL Trophy competitions with the Under-21 side. His performances in those competitions accelerated his pathway to Guardiola’s first team.

Everton: James Garner spent time on loan at Nottingham Forest in the Championship, where he developed into a composed midfielder capable of dictating play from deeper positions. His two seasons at the City Ground proved crucial to his development.

Michael Keane progressed through Manchester United’s academy before loans to Leicester City and Burnley, where Championship football provided the platform to establish himself as a Premier League-quality defender.

Dwight McNeil came through Burnley’s academy system and experienced the challenges of Championship football during Burnley’s relegation season, demonstrating resilience and quality across divisions.

These EFL experiences have proven invaluable, teaching players the physical demands and tactical requirements necessary to succeed in English football’s demanding environment. The Championship particularly offers young players the opportunity to develop resilience and consistency that serves them throughout their careers.