Our Prediction for France vs Azerbaijan 10/10/2025
France are overwhelming favourites heading into this World Cup Qualifier at the Stade de France. Les Bleus have been dominant throughout the campaign, while Azerbaijan have struggled to collect points on the road. With the quality of Kylian Mbappé, Antoine Griezmann, and Ousmane Dembélé, France should have no trouble breaking down a deep-lying Azerbaijan side.
Prediction: France 4–0 Azerbaijan
Recommended Bets:
- France -2 Handicap ✅
- Over 3.5 Goals ✅
- Both Teams to Score – No ✅
France’s attacking depth and home advantage make them a strong selection for multiple betting markets. Azerbaijan’s defensive shape will likely limit damage early, but France’s pace and creativity should eventually prove decisive.
France Form Analysis
France’s qualification form has been near-perfect. Didier Deschamps’ men have displayed balance between a sharp attacking edge and defensive solidity. The reigning world champions have averaged over 3 goals per game in their qualifiers and conceded just twice in their last five matches.
Deschamps has rotated wisely, blending experienced figures like Mbappé and Griezmann with emerging talents such as Michael Olise and Bradley Barcola. France’s midfield, anchored by Aurélien Tchouaméni and Eduardo Camavinga, continues to dominate possession while creating fluid attacking opportunities.
Deschamps typically lines up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, encouraging high pressing and quick transitions. France’s full-backs, particularly Theo Hernández, provide attacking width that often overwhelms lower-ranked opponents.
France’s Last Five Results:
- France 3–0 Iceland (W)
- Ukraine 1–2 France (W)
- France 2–1 Finland (W)
- Scotland 0–3 France (W)
- France 4–0 Cyprus (W)
With five consecutive wins and a +12 goal difference, France enter this match in top form. Their clinical finishing and ability to maintain intensity late in games make them one of the most reliable sides for bettors.
Azerbaijan Form Analysis
Azerbaijan have shown glimpses of progress but remain one of the weaker sides in Group D. They’ve found it difficult to score against top-tier nations and often rely on compact defending and set pieces for chances. Head coach Gianni De Biasi’s men typically set up in a 5-4-1 system to absorb pressure.
While they’ve managed solid home performances, their away form is concerning — they’ve failed to win any of their last seven away qualifiers. Key forward Mahir Emreli remains their main attacking outlet, supported by Emin Mahmudov in midfield. However, their lack of depth and pace in wide areas leaves them vulnerable against elite teams.
Azerbaijan’s Last Five Results:
- Azerbaijan 1–1 Belarus (D)
- Iceland 3–0 Azerbaijan (L)
- Azerbaijan 0–2 Ukraine (L)
- Finland 1–0 Azerbaijan (L)
- Azerbaijan 2–1 Cyprus (W)
Azerbaijan’s recent performances suggest they’ll sit deep and hope to frustrate France. But given the hosts’ attacking rhythm, it’s hard to see them holding out for long.
France vs Azerbaijan Betting Odds
Odds subject to change – please check bookmaker websites for the latest prices.
For punters looking for value, the France -2 handicap market offers a better return than the short match odds. The Over 3.5 Goals line is also worth consideration given France’s scoring form.
Last Encounters Between France and Azerbaijan
Historically, France have dominated this fixture. The last competitive meeting between these nations was in March 2024, where France cruised to a 3–0 victory thanks to goals from Mbappé and Giroud.
Across all meetings, France have won each match with a combined aggregate of 17–0. Azerbaijan have never scored against France, underlining the gulf in quality.
Which Teams Will Qualify from Group D
France’s qualification is a formality, while Ukraine appear strong favourites for the second automatic spot. Iceland remain outsiders but have shown resilience at home. Azerbaijan’s focus will shift toward building momentum for future campaigns.
Given France’s superior goal difference and unbeaten record, expect them to top Group D comfortably.
Players That Used to Play in the EFL
Azerbaijan do not currently have any players in the English Football League, though a few have previously trialled in lower divisions. France, meanwhile, have several fringe or youth players gaining experience in England including youngsters on loan from Premier League academies.
This offers UK bettors a familiar link, with many following these prospects through domestic football.
Final Thoughts
France are expected to dominate this World Cup Qualifier, and anything less than a comfortable win would be a major surprise. Azerbaijan’s best hope lies in keeping the scoreline respectable, but France’s attacking talent should prove far too strong.
Score Prediction: France 4–0 Azerbaijan
Best Bet: France -2 Handicap | Over 3.5 Goals | Both Teams to Score – No
