Two of the EFL’s struggling sides face off this midweek in what is a massive game, with both sides fighting for their lives to stay in League Two.
League Two
Our 3 predictions for Newport County vs Carlisle United
- 1st prediction: Newport County to win or draw
- 2nd prediction: Over 2.5 goals in the match
- 3rd prediction: Both teams to score
1st prediction for Newport County vs Carlisle United: Newport County to win or draw – 1/2
This is a huge game, and the complexion of the tie has changed greatly over the last couple of weeks. Newport had been on a frankly dreadful run of form and had been dragged towards the drop zone, but three wins on the bounce have given them confidence and cleared them of danger. This should help them in this game and, along with home advantage, sees them considered favourites for this one. Furthermore, Carlisle are rooted to the bottom of the league and are in grave danger of a second successive relegation. With Mark Hughes new to the job, it’s hard to see how they will set up, with the team currently lacking direction at a tough time. As the away side, and with so much uncertainty around them, it’s hard to see Carlisle getting something out of this.
2nd prediction for Newport County vs Carlisle United: Over 2.5 goals in the game – 9/10
There’s going to be goals in this one. Both teams are poor but Newport are on a good run and come into this game off the back of a 3-0 win at Crewe Alexandra, so they will fancy their chances. They’ve got 40 goals this season, fantastic for a struggling team, and always stand a chance going forward with their style of play. While Carlisle have scored less than a goal a game, they may score here as a result of their opponent; any team stands a chance of scoring against Newport. With home advantage and their current form, Newport will grab a couple, and Carlisle may get one, which forms the basis of this prediction.
3rd prediction for Newport County vs Carlisle United: Both teams to score – 33/50
While Newport are in great form and Carlisle are struggling, these are still two sides in the bottom half of League Two, so they’re not exactly stable at the back. Newport play expansive football under Nelson Jardim so are often slightly leaky, whilst Carlisle have been poor in all areas all season, so they will likely concede – especially being the away side in this fixture. They have the worst and second worst defensive records in the division respectively, and this is unlikely to change here in a game where neither team can afford to sit back. Newport are, however, considerably better going forward so you’d fancy them to score more and get a favourable result, as evidenced by the other predictions.
Best odds for Newport County vs Carlisle United
| Bookmaker | Newport County | Draw | Carlisle United |
| MyriadPlay | 7/4 | 11/5 | 6/5 |
| Gentleman Jim | 9/5 | 9/4 | 13/10 |
| Betarno | 179/100 | 54/25 | 5/4 |
Full preview of the game: last results and head to head
This is a fascinating game; just a few weeks ago Newport were doing poorly and sliding towards Carlisle in the relegation fight but since then three wins have put them 13 points clear of the drop, with only one loss in their last five. The same can’t be said for Carlisle who have lost four of their last five, sacking Mike Williamson and appointing Mark Hughes in that period, and sinking back to the foot of the table. These contrasting runs of form are highlighted by their previous games; a 3-0 win at Crewe Alexandra for Newport and a 2-1 loss at Grimsby for Carlisle.
In terms of this fixture’s history, the stats are in Newport’s favour. Of 18 meetings, they’ve won eight, with five draws and five wins for Carlisle. These two sides do also have to play each other again this season after their other encounter was postponed, so this should prove interesting in working out how the return fixture will pan out.
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Where to watch Newport County vs Carlisle United
This is a huge game in League Two with two struggling sides facing each other. Here’s where you can watch it:
- Location: Rodney Parade, Newport, UK, NP19 0UU
- Date and time: 7:45pm UK Time, Tuesday 11th February 2025
Probable lineups for Newport County vs Carlisle United
The two sides enter this game in contrasting form and will look to this game as being key to their season’s fortunes. Newport will stick with the side which has got them three wins on the spin, while Makr Hughes is still figuring out his preferred Carlisle United side. Here’s how we think the sides will line up.
Newport County
Line up: N Townsend, M Baker, J Clarke, C Evans, A Glennon, C Antwi, S McLoughlin, J Thomas, B Kamwa, D Ajiboye, C Baker-Richardson
Injuries/suspensions: T Davies
Coach: Nelson Jardim
Carlisle United
Line up: G Breeze, C McArthur, T Thomas, S Lavelle, J Williams, W Patching, C Whelan, K Harris, E Embleton, S Wearne, J Hugill
Injuries/suspensions: None
Coach: Mark Hughes
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